Definition
A Slow Takeoff Scenario is one in which AI capabilities improve gradually over years or decades rather than in a sudden intelligence explosion. This gives society and institutions more time to adapt, but also allows misaligned systems more time to accumulate power and influence.
Why It Matters
The slow takeoff scenario is the ‘adaptability window’ for AI safety; it suggests a future where progress is gradual enough for society to develop the necessary alignment protocols and regulations, but it also warns that misaligned systems could become deeply embedded before we realize the danger.
Core Concepts
- Gradual Capability Growth: Progress is visible and measurable.
- Societal Adaptation Window: More time for regulation, alignment research, and cultural response.
- Increased Deception Risk: Systems can become deeply embedded before their misalignment is obvious.