Definition
Predator-prey models (Lotka-Volterra equations) are a specific system of autonomous differential equations modeling the interaction between two species where one consumes the other:
- How to read: “The derivative of x with respect to time is equal to the constant a times x minus the constant b times x times y; and the derivative of y with respect to time is equal to the negative constant c times y plus the constant d times x times y.”
- Meaning: Lotka-Volterra system—prey grows logistically but is eaten; predators decline without prey but grow by hunting. where is the prey, is the predator, and .
Why It Matters
No population exists in a vacuum. If you don’t understand the “Phase Lag” between predators and prey, you will over-harvest at exactly the moment the system is most fragile. These models reveal that “Stability” is actually a series of cycles. Ignoring the coupling between variables is the fastest way to trigger a “Sudden Extinction” event in biology or business.
Core Concepts
- Interdependence: The prey’s growth is limited by predation (), while the predator’s growth is driven by prey consumption ().
- Periodic Trajectories: In the phase plane, solutions typically form closed loops around an interior equilibrium point, representing sustained oscillations.
- Phase Lag: Predator populations typically peak after prey populations, creating a cyclic lag in the dynamics.
- Equilibrium Points: The trivial equilibrium and the non-trivial coexistence equilibrium .
- How to read: “The equilibrium points are at the origin zero, zero and the point given by the ratio of c to d and the ratio of a to b.”
- Meaning: Extinction state and balanced coexistence where prey and predator populations are steady.